Institute for Technology Assessment and  Systems Analysis (ITAS)

ENERGY-TRANS: Regional modeling of the overall energy supply system

  • Project team:

    Buchgeister, Jens (project leader); Andreas Rieder, Annika Weiss, Holger Maximilian Kleemann

  • Funding:

    Helmholtz Association of German Research Centres

  • Start date:

    2011

  • End date:

    2016

  • Project partners:

    DLR Institute of Transport Research, Forschungszentrum Jülich Institut für Energie- und Klimaforschung - Systemforschung und Technologische Entwicklung

  • Research group:

    Research for Sustainable Energy Technologies

Project description

Helmholtz Alliance ENERGY-TRANS overview

The Helmholtz Alliance ENERGY-TRANS was a large third-party funded project of ITAS. All ITAS research areas were involved and linked in the Alliance with sub-projects. ENERGY-TRANS research focused on the energy transition and related requirements for the transformation of the energy system. Core assumption of ENERGY-TRANS was that this transformation does not only include technical, but also different societal challenges.

Important issues are, for example, changes in user and consumer behavior, acceptance problems and conflicts relating to new infrastructures such as high-voltage lines, suitable political and economic conditions for initiating and promoting the necessary innovations, adequate operator models for decentralized energy systems, and also handling complex, uncertain and ambiguous risks associated with new energy systems. To meet these challenges, the Helmholtz Alliance has launched a research program that investigated the systemic interactions between technology, organization, and behavior in Germany. The emphasis was on the demand side of energy systems and focused on user needs, integrated scenario building, innovation diffusion, infrastructure planning, and risk governance.

More than 80 social and political scientists, psychologists and philosophers, economists, legal scholars, engineers and systems analysts from nine institutions collaborated in five research fields, 17 projects, two horizontal tasks and two integrative key topics. The KIT coordinated the Alliance which ran from September 2011 until December 2016.

Besides the University of Stuttgart, ITAS provided the largest research contingent and participated in ENERGY-TRANS with about 20 scientists. Corresponding to the complex tasks of ENERGY-TRANS, the Alliance integrated ITAS expertise from all research areas. The highly interdisciplinary research also addressed important issues of the Helmholtz program “Technology, Innovation and Society” (TIS).

Regional modeling

The project starts from model-based trend analyses of the electricity, heat, and mobility systems for determined regions. The selection of regions has taken into consideration that great regional differences exist, e.g., between urban and rural areas with respect to a) prospective changes in electricity supply, heat supply, and mobility supply and to b) the long-term targets of the energy concept of the German government requiring an expansion of renewable energies to which different regions may contribute in very different ways. These differences are also related to population, economic structure, the established structure of the energy supply systems, as well as to mobility patterns and use.

To specify future socio-economic framework conditions for the energy demand on a regional level, a regional input-output model (from Forschungszentrum Jülich) is used in combination with information on demographic change. Based on the integration of different models, the project performs its economic, technological, and environmental analysis. In this context the mobility system is modeled by the Institute of Transport Research of DLR.

Publications


2016
Presentations
Kleemann, H. M.
Practical tools for group model building.
2016. International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, Delft, NL, July 17-21, 2016 
Kleemann, H. M.
Misconceptions regarding the self-attenuation of residential energy retrofitting policies? - Validation via disaggregation.
2016. International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, Delft, NL, July 17-21, 2016 
Weiss, A.; Poganietz, W.-R.; Lehn, H.; Steiner, F.; Böschen, S.
The water energy nexus in the urban context. A suggestion for a multi- inter- and transdisciplinary approach for sustainable development.
2016. Workshop ’Understanding the Water-Energy-Food Nexus and ist Implication for Governance’, Osnabrück, June 15-16, 2016 
Posters
Handel, O.; Kleemann, H. M.
New scripts for group building - online questionnaires and open loops.
2016. 34th International System Dynamics Society Conference, Delft, NL, July 17-21, 2016 
Kleemann, H. M.
Practical tools for group model building.
2016. 34th International System Dynamics Society Conference, Delft, NL, July 17-21, 2016 
2015
Presentations
Buchgeister, J.
Lecture energy management - From global perspective to applications in industry.
2015. Vorlesung im Bereich Wirtschaftsingenieurwesen, Hochschule Pforzheim (2015), Pforzheim, Germany, March 24, 2015 
Buchgeister, J.; Kleemann, M.; Rieder, A.
Aspekte einer regionalen Energiewende.
2015. Energy Days 2015, Leipzig, February 24-25, 2015 
Kleemann, H. M.
Qualitative Faktoren in System Dynamics Modellen, beispielsweise in der energetischen Sanierung von Wohngebäuden.
2015. Rahmen eines Expertengespräch zum Thema “Integration qualitativer Faktoren in die Umwelt & Energiemodellierung” im GENO-Haus Stuttgart (2015), Stuttgart, Germany, January 21–22, 2015 
Kleemann, H. M.
Analysis of the development of the retrofitting transition of residential buildings in SW-Thuringia by means of a system dynamics simulation model.
2015. 19.Workshop des Student Chapters der Gesellschaft für Energiewissenschaft und Ennergiepolitik (GEE), Stuttgart, 8.Mai 2015 
Rieder, A.; Buchgeister, J.
Strom- und Wärmeversorgungsmodell einer ländlichen Region.
2015. Energiesysteme 2050, Kick-Off Meeting Forschungsthema 1: Seicher und Netze, Karlsruhe, 24.November 2015 
2014
Presentations
Buchgeister, J.
Projektvorstellung: Regionale Modellierung von Energieversorgungsstrukturen in Südwestthüringen.
2014. 6. Sitzung des Energiebeirats der Regionalen Planungsgemeinschaft Südwestthüringen (2014), Suhl, Germany, March 7, 2014 
Buchgeister, J.
Energy Management - From global perspective to applications in industry.
2014. Vorlesung im Bereich Wirtschaftsingenieurwesen, Hochschule Pforzheim (2014), Pforzheim, Germany, April 1, 2014 
Buchgeister, J.; Rieder, A.; Kleemann, H. M.
Regionale Modellierung von Energieversorgungsstrukturen in Südwestthüringen - Projektvorstellung.
2014. Sitzung des Planungsausschusses der Regionalen Planungsgemeinschaft Südwestthüringen (2014), Hildburghausen, Germany, April 8, 2014 
Buchgeister, J.; Rieder, A.; Kleemann, M.
Regionale Modellierung von Energieversorgungsstrukturen in Südwestthüringen.
2014. 3.Regionale Energiekonferenz Südwestthüringen, Suhl, 27.November 2014 
Buchgeister, J.; Rieder, A.; Kleemann, M.
Regionale Modellierung von Energieversorgungsstrukturen in Südwestthüringen.
2014. 24. Sitzung des Planungsausschusses der regionalen Planungsgemeinschaft Südwestthüringen, Hildburghausen, 8. April 2014 
Prehofer, S.; Buchgeister, J.; Rieder, A.; Toups, M.; Weimer-Jehle, W.
Constructing hybrid scenarios to enhance socio-technical system understanding and to improve coupling the story with quantitative modelling”. An approach applied on two regional energy system case studies.
2014. International UCL-CIRED workshop: Innovative techniques for Quantitative SCenarios in ENergyEnvironmental research (IQ SCENE 2014), London, United Kingdom, March 26–27, 2014 
Rieder, A.
Energiesystem-Modell einer Raumordnungsregion.
2014. 16. Workshop des Student Chapters, Essen, 23. Mai 2014 
Weimer-Jehle, W.; Borggrefe, F.; Buchgeister, J.; Hauser, W.; Naegler, T.; Pregger, T.; Prehofer, S.; Rieder, A.; Scholz, Y.; Vögele, S.
Context scenarios. A concept for improving the account of societal uncertainties in energy scenarios and its application in ENERGY-TRANS.
2014. IRGC Workshop Energy Transition Scenarios : Improving Methods to Assess Future Energy Demand, Karlsruhe, October 9-10, 2014 
Posters
Kleemann, H. M.
Misconceptions of the dynamic nature of building energy retrofitting rates in Germany.
2014. 32nd Good Governance in a Complex World - International Conference of the System Dynamics Society (2014), Delft, Netherlands, July 20–24, 2014 
2013
Journal Articles
Buchgeister, J.; Heinrichs, D.; Tobias, K.; Rieder, A.; Toups, M.
Regionale Modellierung von Energieversorgungsstrukturen.
2013. GAIA - Ökologische Perspektiven für Wissenschaft und Gesellschaft, 22, 209–210 
Conference Papers
Rieder, A.; Christidis, A.; Tsatsaronis, G.
Multi criteria dynamic design optimization of a distributed energy system.
2013. Proceedings of the 26th Internat.Conf.on Efficiency, Cost, Optimization, Simulation and Environmental Impact of Energy Systems (ECOS 2013), Guilin, CN, July 16-19, 2013. Ed.: J. Xu, Paper D037 
Reports/Preprints
Presentations
Buchgeister, J.
Lecture energy management - From global perspective to applications in industry.
2013. Vortr.: Vorlesung im Bereich Wirtschaftsingenieurwesen, Pforzheim, 15. Oktober 2013 
Rieder, A.
Dynamische Entwurfsoptimierung eines KWK-Systems.
2013. Internationalen VDI-Expertenforum “Wie smart managen wir Energie wirklich?” im KIT (2013), Karlsruhe, Germany, March 19–20, 2013 
Rieder, A.; Christidis, A.; Tsatsaronis, G.
Multi criteria dynamic design optimization of a distributed energy system.
2013. 26th Internat.Conf.on Efficiency, Cost, Optimization, Simulation and Environmental Impact of Energy Systems (ECOS 2013), Guilin, China, July 16-19, 2013 
Posters
Buchgeister, J.; Rieder, A.; Weimer-Jehle, W.
Using cross-impact analysis for long-term trends of energy systems.
2013. 26th Internat.Conf.on Efficiency, Cost, Optimization, Simulation and Environmental Impact of Energy Systems (ECOS 2013), Guilin, China, July 16-19, 2013 
2012
Conference Papers
Buchgeister, J.
Comparison of sophisticated life cycle impact assessment methods for assessing environmental impacts in a LCA study of electricity production.
2012. 25th International Conference on Efficiency, Cost, Optimization and Simulation of Energy Conversion Systems and Processes (ECOS) - Perugia, Italy, June 26th-June 29th, 2012. Ed.: U. Desideri, Firenze University Press 
Presentations
Buchgeister, J.
Bewertung von Umweltwirkungen - Methodischer Rahmen und aktuell diskutierte Vorgehensweisen bei der Ökobilanzierung.
2012. Vortr.: VDI Richtlinienausschuss 4601 ’Umweltindikatoren / Ökosystemleistung’, Düsseldorf, 22.Oktober 2012 
Buchgeister, J.
Comparison of sophisticated life cycle impact assessment methods for assessing environmental impacts in a LCA study of electricity production.
2012. ECOS 2012: Advances and Challenges in Nuclear Physics with High Intensity Stable Beams, Perugia, I, June 26-29, 2012 

Contact

Jens Buchgeister
Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT)
Institute for Technology Assessment and Systems Analysis (ITAS)
P.O. Box 3640
76021 Karlsruhe
Germany

Tel.: +49 721 608-26720
E-mail